Identifying trade-offs between ecosystem services, land use, and biodiversity: A plea for combining scenario analysis and optimization on different spatial scales
SEPPELT, Ralf; Lautenbach, Sven; Volk, Martin
2013 • In Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 5 (5), p. 458 - 463
[en] Research on mitigating land use conflicts is characterized by a variety of projects from the global to various sub-global scales. These projects are aiming at disentangling feedbacks within changing socio-environmental systems to identify strategies for sustainable resource use. Our review shows that any global analysis benefits from systematic synthesis of sub-global research from various scales, while sub-global investigations require embedding in global scenarios. There is an urgent need for improved methods to identify trade-offs at all scales as scenario analysis frequently results in a discrete set of options. We argue that the use of optimization algorithms including Pareto-frontiers combined with scenario analysis can provide efficient options for sustainable land use from global to sub-global scales. ?? 2013 Elsevier B.V.
Research center :
Luxembourg Centre for Socio-Environmental Systems (LCSES)
Disciplines :
Environmental sciences & ecology
Author, co-author :
SEPPELT, Ralf ; University of Luxembourg > Luxembourg Centre for Socio-Environmental Systems (LCSES)
Lautenbach, Sven
Volk, Martin
External co-authors :
no
Language :
English
Title :
Identifying trade-offs between ecosystem services, land use, and biodiversity: A plea for combining scenario analysis and optimization on different spatial scales
Seto K.C., Güneralp B., Hutyra L.R. Global forecasts of urban expansion to 2030 and direct impacts on biodiversity and carbon pools. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 2012, 109:16083-16088.
Foley J.A., Ramankutty N., Brauman K.A., Cassidy E.S., Gerber J.S., Johnston M., Mueller N.D., O'Connell C., Ray D.K., West P.C., et al. Solutions for a cultivated planet. Nature 2011, 478:337-342.
Vörösmarty C.J., McIntyre P.B., Gessner M.O., Dudgeon D., Prusevich a., Green P., Glidden S., Bunn S.E., Sullivan C.A., Liermann C.R., et al. Global threats to human water security and river biodiversity. Nature 2010, 467:555-561.
Loreau M., Naeem S., Inchausti P., Bengtsson J., Grime J.P., Hector A., Hooper D.U., Huston M., Raffaelli D., Schmid B., et al. Biodiversity and ecosystem functioning: current knowledge and future challenges. Science 2001, 294:804-808.
Cardinale B.J., Duffy J.E., Gonzalez A., Hooper D.U., Perrings C., Venail P., Narwani A., Mace G.M., Tilman D., Wardle D.A., et al. Biodiversity loss and its impact on humanity. Nature 2012, 486:59-67.
Eppink F.V., Werntze A., Mäs S., Popp A., Seppelt R. Land management and ecosystem services. Gaia Ecol Perspect Sci Soc 2012, 21:55-63.
Seppelt R., Müller F., Schröder B., Volk M. Challenges of simulating complex environmental systems at the landscape scale: a controversial dialogue between two cups of espresso. Ecol Model 2009, 220:3481-3489.
Turner W., Brandon K., Brooks T., Costanza R. Global conservation of biodiversity and ecosystem services. Bioscience 2007.
Lambin E.F., Turner B.L., Geist H.J., Agbola S.B., Angelsen A., Bruce J.W., Coomes O.T., Dirzo R., Fischer G., Folke C., et al. The causes of land-use and land-cover change: moving beyond the myths. Global Environ Chang 2001, 11:261-269.
MA: Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Multiscale Assessments. Findings of the Sub-global Assessments Working Groups 2005, Island Press.
Seppelt R., Dormann C.F., Eppink F.V., Lautenbach S., Schmidt S. A quantitative review of ecosystem service studies: approaches, shortcomings and the road ahead. J Appl Ecol 2011, 48:630-636.
Liu J.G., Li S.X., Ouyang Z.Y., Tam C., Chen X.D. Ecological and socioeconomic effects of China's policies for ecosystem services. Proc Natl Acad Sci 2008, 105:9477-9482.
Meyfroidt P., Lambin E.F. Forest transition in Vietnam and displacement of deforestation abroad. Proc Natl Acad Sci 2009, 106:16139-16144.
Meyfroidt P., Rudel T.K., Lambin E.F. Forest transitions, trade, and the global displacement of land use. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 2010, 107:20917-20922.
Rodrigues A.S.L., Akçakaya H.R., Andelman S.J., Bakarr M.I., Boitani L., Gaston K.J., Hoffmann M., Marquet P.A., Pilgrim J.D., Pressey R.L., et al. Global gap analysis: priority regions for expanding the global protected-area network. Bioscience 2004, 54.
Lautenbach S., Seppelt R., Liebscher J., Dormann C.F. Spatial and temporal trends of global pollination benefit. PLoS ONE 2012, 7:e35954.
Oki T., Kanae S. Global hydrological cycles and world water resources. Science 2006, 313:1068-1072.
Ellis E. Putting people in the map: anthropogenic biomes of the world. Front Ecol 2008, 6:439-447.
Goldman R.L., Tallis H., Kareiva P., Daily G.C. Field evidence that ecosystem service projects support biodiversity and diversify options. Proc Natl Acad Sci 2008, 105:9445-9448.
Phalan B., Onial M., Balmford A., Green R.E. Reconciling food production and biodiversity conservation: land sharing and land sparing compared. Science 2011, 333:1289-1291.
Ash N., Blanco H., Brown C., Garcia K., Heinrichs T., Lucas N., Raudsepp-Hearne C., Simpson R.D., Scholes R., Tomich T., et al. Ecosystems and Human Well-Being 2010, Island Press.
Raskin P.D. Global scenarios: background review for the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment. Ecosystems 2005, 8:133-142.
UNEP: Global Environmental Outlook. GEO4. 2007.
Moss R.H., Edmonds J.A., Hibbard K.A., Manning M.R., Rose S.K., Van Vuuren D.P., Carter T.R., Emori S., Kainuma M., Kram T., et al. The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment. Nature 2010, 463:747-756.
Vanvuuren D., Lucas P., Hilderink H. Downscaling drivers of global environmental change: enabling use of global SRES scenarios at the national and grid levels. Global Environ Chang 2007, 17:114-130.
Strengers B., Leemans R., Eickhout B., Vries B., Bouwman L. The land-use projections and resulting emissions in the IPCC SRES scenarios as simulated by the IMAGE 2.2 model. GeoJournal 2004, 61:381-393.
Rounsevell M., Reginster I., Araujo M.T.R. A coherent set of future land use change scenarios for Europe. Agric Ecosyst Environ 2006, 114:57-68.
Thuiller W., Lavorel S., Araújo M.B., Sykes M.T., Prentice I.C. Climate change threats to plant diversity in Europe. Proc Natl Acad Sci 2005, 102:8245-8250.
Levinsky I., Skov F., Svenning J.-C., Rahbek C. Potential impacts of climate change on the distributions and diversity patterns of European mammals. Biodiversity Conserv 2007, 16:3803-3816.
Lapola D.M., Schaldach R., Alcamo J., Bondeau A., Koch J., Koelking C., Priess J.A. Indirect land-use changes can overcome carbon savings from biofuels in Brazil. Proc Natl Acad Sci 2010, 107:3388-3393.
Heistermann M., Müller C., Ronneberger K. Land in sight? Achievements, deficits and potentials of continental to global scale land-use modeling. Agric Ecosyst Environ 2006, 114:141-158.
Haines-Young R, Potschin M, DeGroot D: Towards a Common International Classification of Ecosystem Services (CICES) for Integrated Environmental and Economic Accounting, 2010.
Seppelt R., Fath B., Burkhard B., Fisher J.L., Grêt-Regamey A., Lautenbach S., Pert P., Hotes S., Spangenberg J., Verburg P.H., et al. Form follows function? Proposing a blueprint for ecosystem service assessments based on reviews and case studies. Ecol Ind 2012, 21:145-154.
Billeter R., Liira J., Bailey D., Bugter R., Arens P., Augenstein I., Aviron S., Baudry J., Bukacek R., Burel F., et al. Indicators for biodiversity in agricultural landscapes: a pan-European study. J Appl Ecol 2008, 45:141-150.
Dormann C.F., Schweiger O., Augenstein I., Bailey D., Billeter R., De Blust G., DeFilippi R., Frenzel M., Hendrickx F., Herzog F., et al. Effects of landscape structure and land-use intensity on similarity of plant and animal communities. Global Ecol Biogeogr 2007, 16:774-787.
Isbell F., Calcagno V., Hector A., Connolly J., Harpole W.S., Reich P.B., Scherer-Lorenzen M., Schmid B., Tilman D., Van Ruijven J., et al. High plant diversity is needed to maintain ecosystem services. Nature 2011, 477:199-202.
Balvanera P., Pfisterer A.B., Buchmann N., He J.-S., Nakashizuka T., Raffaelli D., Schmid B. Quantifying the evidence for biodiversity effects on ecosystem functioning and services. Ecol Lett 2006, 9:1146-1156.
Mace G.M., Norris K., Fitter A.H. Biodiversity and ecosystem services: a multilayered relationship. Trends Ecol Evol 2011, 10.1016/j.tree.2011.08.006.
Raudsepp-Hearne C., Peterson G.D., Tengö M., Bennett E.M., Holland T., Benessaiah K., MacDonald G.K., Pfeifer L. Untangling the environmentalist's paradox: why is human well-being increasing as ecosystem services degrade?. Bioscience 2010, 60:576-589.
Ziv G., Baran E., Nam S., Rodríguez-Iturbe I., Levin S.A. Trading-off fish biodiversity, food security, and hydropower in the Mekong River Basin. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 2012, 109.
Seppelt R., Voinov A.A. Optimization methodology for land use patterns using spatially explicit landscape models. Ecol Model 2002, 151:125-142.
Seppelt R., Voinov A.A. Optimization methodology for land use patterns-evaluation based on multiscale habitat pattern comparison. Ecol Model 2003, 168:217-231.
Holzkämper A., Seppelt R. Evaluating cost-effectiveness of conservation management actions in an agricultural landscape on a regional scale. Biol Conserv 2007, 136:117-127.
Rabotyagov S., Campbell T., Jha M., Gassman P.W., Arnold J., Kurkalova L., Secchi S., Feng H., Kling C.L. Least-cost control of agricultural nutrient contributions to the Gulf of Mexico hypoxic zone. Ecol Appl 2010, 20:1542-1555.
Polasky S., Nelson E., Camm J., Csuti B., Fackler P., Lonsdorf E., Montgomery C., White D., Arthur J., Garberyonts B. Where to put things? Spatial land management to sustain biodiversity and economic returns. Biol Conserv 2008, 141:1505-1524.
Nelson E., Polasky S., Lewis D.J., Plantinga A.J., Lonsdorf E., White D., Bael D., Lawler J.J. Efficiency of incentives to jointly increase carbon sequestration and species conservation on a landscape. Proc Natl Acad Sci 2008, 105:9471-9476.
Watts M.E., Ball I.R., Stewart R.S., Klein C.J., Wilson K., Steinback C., Lourival R., Kircher L., Possingham H.P. Marxan with Zones: software for optimal conservation based land- and sea-use zoning. Environ Model Software 2009, 24:1513-1521.
Probert W.J.M., Hauser C.E., McDonald-Madden E., Runge M.C., Baxter P.W.J., Possingham H.P. Managing and learning with multiple models: objectives and optimization algorithms. Biol Conserv 2011, 144:1237-1245.
Chauvenet A.L.M., Baxter P.W.J., McDonald-Madden E., Possingham H.P. Optimal allocation of conservation effort among subpopulations of a threatened species: how important is patch quality?. Ecol Appl 2010, 30:789-797.
Ellis E.C., Klein Goldewijk K., Siebert S., Lightman D., Ramankutty N. Anthropogenic transformation of the biomes, 1700 to 2000. Global Ecol Biogeogr 2010, 10.1111/j.1466-8238.2010.00540.x.
Asselen S., Verburg P.H. A land system representation for global assessments and land-use modeling. Global Change Biol 2012, 18:3125-3148.
Seppelt R. Applications of optimum control theory to agroecosystem modelling. Ecol Model 1999, 121:161-183.
Purves D., Scharlemann J., Harfoot M., Newbold T., Tittensor D.P., Hutton J., Emmott S. Time to model all life on Earth. Nature 2013, 493:295-297.
Kleidon A., Mooney H.A. A global distribution of biodiversity inferred from climatic constraints: results from a process-based modelling study. Global Change Biol 2000, 6:507-523.
