Counterparty risk; Risk-sensitive and anti-cyclical margin; Settlement system; Finance
Abstract :
[en] We investigate the optimal level of margin requirement in centralized or decentralized clearing and settlement systems. We prove in an analytical model that aggressively risk-sensitive margins are not optimal, and the actual position of the clients and the general macroeconomic conditions, like overall funding liquidity should also be taken into consideration. For example, in a crisis period characterized by high volatility, the clearing institution may be tempted to require larger margins to cover potential losses, however, clients just have difficulties to finance higher margins, hence, the probability of non-payment increases, and the expected loss of the clearing institution may also increase. We show that under realistic specifications, there exists a unique optimal margin minimizing the expected loss of the clearing institution. Characterizing this optimum, we provide a micro-level foundation for anti-cyclical risk management techniques (margins, collaterals, haircuts etc.) in general.
Disciplines :
Finance
Author, co-author :
BERLINGER, Edina ; University of Luxembourg > Faculty of Law, Economics and Finance (FDEF) > Department of Finance (DF) ; Corvinus University of Budapest, Department of Finance, Hungary
Dömötör, Barbara; Corvinus University of Budapest, Department of Finance, Hungary
Illés, Ferenc; Corvinus University of Budapest, Department of Finance, Hungary
This research was supported by the scholarship János Bolyai of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences. We also thank the colleagues of the KELER Central Counterparty and the participants of the Annual Financial Market Conference 2017 for their valuable comments.
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