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Detecting the "Big Red Spot" of age-period excess mortality in 25 countries: Age-period-cohort residual analysis
Chauvel, Louis; Leist, Anja; Smith, Herbert
2017In PAA Server
Peer reviewed
 

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Keywords :
all-cause mortality; age-period-cohort analysis; HIV/AIDS mortality
Abstract :
[en] In times of wide availability of yearly mortality information of age and period groups all over the world, we lack in tools that detect and graph fine-grained deviations from mortality trends. We provide a new age-period-cohort based methodology, combining information from age-period (AP) and APC-Detrended (APCD) analyses to detect all-cause mortality increases. Plotting the resulting AP coefficients and APCD residuals in equilateral Lexis diagrams, mortality patterns can easily be distinguished as age, period, or cohort trends and fluctuations. Additionally, we detect abnormalities as interactions of age and period (‘big red spots’). We then investigate the ‘red spots’ of mortality of young-adult cohorts in the early 1990s in Spain, other southern European countries and the U.S. to delineate their simultaneously occurring public health crises. Additional analyses with WHO mortality data show that mortality increases are mostly due to increased HIV/AIDS mortality. We discuss possible applications of the new method.
Research center :
- Integrative Research Unit: Social and Individual Development (INSIDE) > PEARL Institute for Research on Socio-Economic Inequality (IRSEI)
Disciplines :
Sociology & social sciences
Author, co-author :
Chauvel, Louis ;  University of Luxembourg > Faculty of Language and Literature, Humanities, Arts and Education (FLSHASE) > Integrative Research Unit: Social and Individual Development (INSIDE)
Leist, Anja  ;  University of Luxembourg > Faculty of Language and Literature, Humanities, Arts and Education (FLSHASE) > Integrative Research Unit: Social and Individual Development (INSIDE)
Smith, Herbert;  University of Pennsylvania - Penn
External co-authors :
yes
Language :
English
Title :
Detecting the "Big Red Spot" of age-period excess mortality in 25 countries: Age-period-cohort residual analysis
Publication date :
28 April 2017
Event name :
Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America
Event date :
April 2017
Journal title :
PAA Server
Peer reviewed :
Peer reviewed
FnR Project :
FNR9522302 - A Research Programme On Social Inequality Within The National, European And International Context, 2011 (01/06/2012-31/12/2018) - Louis Chauvel
Funders :
FNR - Fonds National de la Recherche [LU]
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