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Extrapolated empirical likelihood as a solution to the convex-hull-violation problem
KOSTYRKA, Andreï
2025
 

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Keywords :
empirical likelihood; convex hull; moment-condition models; extrapolation and splicing; radial reduction
Abstract :
[en] Empirical likelihood (EL) breaks down when the hypothesised mean falls outside the convex hull of the sample. We propose extrapolated EL (ExEL) – two splicing schemes that extend the log-EL ratio beyond the hull while leaving it unchanged on a user-chosen interior region. The first scheme, ExEL1, continues EL past a data-driven cut-off using its local quadratic (Taylor) expansion. The second scheme, ExEL2, smoothly splices EL to its global Wald quadratic approximation via a convex bridge. Both methods extend naturally to multiple dimensions by radial reduction. In simulations with small samples – where convex-hull violations are common – ExEL remains well-behaved and distinguishes mild from severe violations. It also has attractive inferential properties, delivering accurate coverage probabilities with bootstrap calibration.
Disciplines :
Quantitative methods in economics & management
Author, co-author :
KOSTYRKA, Andreï  ;  University of Luxembourg > Faculty of Law, Economics and Finance (FDEF) > Department of Economics and Management (DEM)
Language :
English
Title :
Extrapolated empirical likelihood as a solution to the convex-hull-violation problem
Publication date :
18 December 2025
Number of pages :
33
Available on ORBilu :
since 20 December 2025

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