Abstract :
[en] In this paper, we present an innovative method for constructing proper priors for the skewness (shape) parameter in the skew-symmetric family of distributions. The proposed method is based on assigning a prior distribution on the perturbation effect of the shape parameter, which is quantified in terms of the total variation distance. We discuss strategies to translate prior beliefs about the asymmetry of the data into an informative prior distribution of this class. We show via a Monte Carlo simulation study that our non-informative priors induce posterior distributions with good frequentist properties, similar to those of the Jeffreys prior. Our informative priors yield better results than their competitors from the literature. We also propose a scale-invariant and location-invariant prior structure for models with unknown location and scale parameters and provide sufficient conditions for the propriety of the corresponding posterior distribution. Illustrative examples are presented using simulated and real data.
Funding text :
Holger Dette’s work has been supported in part by the Collaborative Research Center ‘Statistical Modelling of Nonlinear Dynamic Processes’ (SFB 823, Teilprojekt C1) of the German Research Foundation (DFG). The authors thank Helena Carreira (LSHTM) for helpful discussions on the behaviour of body mass index data and two anonymous referees for useful comments.
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