Bayesian model averaging; financial development; income inequality; meta-analysis; publication bias
Résumé :
[en] The voluminous empirical research on the effect of financial development on income inequality has yielded mixed results. In this paper, we collect 2127 estimates reported in 116 published studies that investigate the effect of financial development on income inequality. Although our initial tests for publication bias (which do not account for moderator variables) show that the current literature does not suffer from publication selectivity, once we control for a set of moderator variables, we find evidence of mild publication bias in favor of positive estimates (i.e., the current literature favors the publication of studies that find that financial development increases income inequality). In addition, our results suggest that the overall effect of financial development on income inequality is on average zero, but that its sign and magnitude depend systematically on various study characteristics. The characteristics of data and estimation methods, whether endogeneity is taken into account, the different measures of financial development and the inclusion of financial openness, inflation and income variables in the regressions matter significantly for the effect of financial development on inequality.
Disciplines :
Sciences économiques & de gestion: Multidisciplinaire, généralités & autres Finance Méthodes quantitatives en économie & gestion Macroéconomie & économie monétaire Domaines particuliers de l’économie (santé, travail, transport...)
Auteur, co-auteur :
Chletsos, Michael ✱; University of Piraeus > Department of Economics
SINTOS, Andreas ✱; University of Piraeus > Department of Economics
✱ Ces auteurs ont contribué de façon équivalente à la publication.
Co-auteurs externes :
yes
Langue du document :
Anglais
Titre :
Financial development and income inequality: A meta-analysis
scite shows how a scientific paper has been cited by providing the context of the citation, a classification describing whether it supports, mentions, or contrasts the cited claim, and a label indicating in which section the citation was made.
Bibliographie
Abu-Bader, S., & Abu-Qarn, A. S. (2008). Financial development and economic growth: Empirical evidence from six MENA countries. Review of Development Economics, 12(4), 803–817. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9361.2008.00427.x
Adeleye, N., Osabuohien, E., & Bowale, E. (2019). The role of institutions in the finance-inequality nexus in Sub-Saharan Africa. Journal of Contextual Economics, 137(1–2), 173–192. https://doi.org/10.3790/schm.137.1-2.173
Altunbaş, Y., & Thornton, J. (2020). Finance and income inequality revisited. Finance Research Letters, 37, 101355. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2019.101355
Amini, S. M., & Parmeter, C. F. (2012). Comparison of model averaging techniques: Assessing growth determinants. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 27(5), 870–876. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.2288
Anderson, E., Jalles D'Orey, M. A., Duvendack, M., & Esposito, L. (2017). Does government spending affect income inequality? A meta-regression analysis. Journal of Economic Surveys, 31(4), 961–987. https://doi.org/10.1111/joes.12173
Andrews, I., & Kasy, M. (2019). Identification of and correction for publication bias. American Economic Review, 109(8), 2766–2794. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20180310
Arcand, J. L., Berkes, E., & Panizza, U. (2015). Too much finance? Journal of Economic Growth, 20(2), 105–148. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10887-015-9115-2
Arestis, P., Chortareas, G., & Magkonis, G. (2015). The financial development and growth nexus: A meta-analysis. Journal of Economic Surveys, 29(3), 549–565. https://doi.org/10.1111/joes.12086
Asongu, S. A. (2013). Investment and inequality in Africa: Which financial channels are good for the poor? African Finance Journal, 15(2), 43–65. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2493146
Asongu, S. A. (2014). New financial intermediary development indicators for developing countries. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2493102
Asongu, S. A., & Tchamyou, V. S. (2014). Inequality, finance and pro-poor investment in Africa. Brussels Economic Review, 57(4), 517–547.
Ayadi, R., Arbak, E., Naceur, S. B., & De Groen, W. P. (2015). Determinants of financial development across the Mediterranean. In Economic and social development of the southern and eastern Mediterranean countries (pp. 159–181). Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-11122-3_11
Bahmani-Oskooee, M., & Zhang, R. (2015). On the impact of financial development on income distribution: Time-series evidence. Applied Economics, 47(12), 1248–1271. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2014.993135
Bajzik, J., Havranek, T., Irsova, Z., & Schwarz, J. (2020). Estimating the Armington elasticity: The importance of study design and publication bias. Journal of International Economics, 127, 103383. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2020.103383
Banerjee, A. V., & Newman, A. F. (1993). Occupational choice and the process of development. Journal of Political Economy, 101(2), 274–298.
Beck, T., Demirgüç-Kunt, A., & Levine, R. (2000). A new database on the structure and development of the financial sector. World Bank Economic Review, 14(3), 597–605. https://doi.org/10.1093/wber/14.3.597
Beck, T., Demirgüç-Kunt, A., & Levine, R. (2007). Finance, inequality and the poor. Journal of Economic Growth, 12(1), 27–49. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10887-007-9010-6
Beck, T., Levine, R., & Levkov, A. (2010). Big bad banks? The winners and losers from bank deregulation in the United States. The Journal of Finance, 65(5), 1637–1667. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2010.01589.x
Bijlsma, M., Kool, C., & Non, M. (2018). The effect of financial development on economic growth: A meta-analysis. Applied Economics, 50(57), 6128–6148. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489503
Bom, P. R., & Rachinger, H. (2019). A kinked meta-regression model for publication bias correction. Research Synthesis Methods, 10(4), 497–514. https://doi.org/10.1002/jrsm.1352
Borenstein, M., Hedges, L. V., Higgins, J. P., & Rothstein, H. R. (2011). Introduction to meta-analysis. John Wiley & Sons.
Cazachevici, A., Havranek, T., & Horvath, R. (2020). Remittances and economic growth: A meta-analysis. World Development, 134, 105021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2020.105021
Chakroun, M. (2020). Threshold effects in the relationship between financial development and income inequality. International Journal of Finance and Economics, 25(3), 365–387. https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.1757
Christopoulos, D. K., & Tsionas, E. G. (2004). Financial development and economic growth: Evidence from panel unit root and cointegration tests. Journal of development Economics, 73(1), 55–74. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2003.03.002
CČihák, M., Demirgüč-Kunt, A., Feyen, E., & Levine, R. (2013). Financial development in 205 economies, 1960 to 2010. Journal of Financial Perspectives, 1(2), 17–36. https://doi.org/10.3386/w18946
Claessens, S., & Perotti, E. (2007). Finance and inequality: Channels and evidence. Journal of comparative Economics, 35(4), 748–773. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jce.2007.07.002
Clarke, G. R. G., Xu, L. C., & Zou, H. (2006). Finance and income inequality: What do the data tell us? Southern Economic Journal, 72(3), 578. https://doi.org/10.2307/20111834
de Haan, J., & Sturm, J. E. (2017). Finance and income inequality: A review and new evidence. European Journal of Political Economy, 50, 171–195. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2017.04.007
De Vita, G., & Luo, Y. (2020). Financialization, household debt and income inequality: Empirical evidence. International Journal of Finance and Economics, 26(2), 1917–1937. https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.1886
Deidda, L., & Fattouh, B. (2008). Banks, financial markets and growth. Journal of Financial Intermediation, 17(1), 6–36. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfi.2006.04.003
Demirgüç-Kunt, A., & Levine, R. (2009). Finance and inequality: Theory and evidence. Annual Review of Financial Economics, 1(1), 287–318. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.financial.050808.114334
Doucouliagos, C., & Stanley, T. D. (2013). Are all economic facts greatly exaggerated? Theory competition and selectivity. Journal of Economic Surveys, 27(2), 316–339. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-6419.2011.00706.x
Doucouliagos, H. (2011). How large is large? Preliminary and relative guidelines for interpreting partial correlations in economics. Working Papers, Deakin University, Department of Economics.
Eicher, T. S., Papageorgiou, C., & Raftery, A. E. (2011). Default priors and predictive performance in Bayesian model averaging, with application to growth determinants. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 26(1), 30–55. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.1112
Fernandez, C., Ley, E., & Steel, M. F. (2001). Benchmark priors for Bayesian model averaging. Journal of Econometrics, 100(2), 381–427. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(00)00076-2
Furukawa, C. (2019). Publication bias under aggregation frictions: Theory, evidence, and a new correction method. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3362053
Galor, O., & Moav, O. (2004). From physical to human capital accumulation: Inequality and the process of development. The Review of Economic Studies, 71(4), 1001–1026. https://doi.org/10.1111/0034-6527.00312
Galor, O., & Zeira, J. (1993). Income distribution and macroeconomics. The Review of Economic Studies, 60(1), 35–52. https://doi.org/10.2307/2297811
Gravina, A. F., & Lanzafame, M. (2021). Finance, globalisation, technology and inequality: Do nonlinearities matter? Economic Modelling, 96, 96–110. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2020.12.026
Greenwood, J., & Jovanovic, B. (1990). Financial development, growth, and the distribution of income. Journal of political Economy, 98((5), Part 1), 1076–1107.
Gunby, P., Jin, Y., & Reed, W. R. (2017). Did FDI really cause Chinese economic growth? A meta-analysis. World Development, 90, 242–255. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2016.10.001
Hansen, B. E. (2007). Least squares model averaging. Econometrica, 75(4), 1175–1189. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0262.2007.00785.x
Havranek, T., & Irsova, Z. (2011). Estimating vertical spillovers from FDI: Why results vary and what the true effect is. Journal of International Economics, 85(2), 234–244. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2011.07.004
Havranek, T., & Irsova, Z. (2012). Survey article: Publication bias in the literature on foreign direct investment spillovers. The Journal of Development Studies, 48(10), 1375–1396. https://doi.org/10.1080/00220388.2012.685721
Havranek, T., & Irsova, Z. (2017). Do borders really slash trade? A meta-analysis. IMF Economic Review, 65(2), 365–396. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41308-016-0001-5
Havranek, T., Herman, D., & Irsova, Z. (2018). Does daylight saving save electricity? A Meta-Analysis. Energy Journal, 39(2), 63–86. https://doi.org/10.5547/01956574.39.2.thav
Havranek, T., Irsova, Z., & Vlach, T. (2018). Measuring the income elasticity of water demand: The importance of publication and endogeneity biases. Land Economics, 94(2), 259–283. https://doi.org/10.3368/le.94.2.259
Havranek, T., Irsova, Z., & Zeynalova, O. (2018). Tuition fees and university enrolment: A meta-regression analysis. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 80(6), 1145–1184. https://doi.org/10.1111/obes.12240
Havranek, T., Rusnak, M., & Sokolova, A. (2017). Habit formation in consumption: A meta-analysis. European Economic Review, 95, 142–167. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2017.03.009
Havránek, T., Stanley, T. D., Doucouliagos, H., Bom, P., Geyer-Klingeberg, J., Iwasaki, I., Reed, W. R., Rost, K., & Van Aert, R. C. M. (2020). Reporting guidelines for meta-analysis in economics. Journal of Economic Surveys, 34(3), 469–475. https://doi.org/10.1111/joes.12363
Heimberger, P. (2020). Does economic globalisation affect income inequality? A meta-analysis. The World Economy, 43(11), 2960–2982. https://doi.org/10.1111/twec.13007
Hoeting, J., Madigan, D., Raftery, A., & Volinsky, C. (1999). Bayesian model averaging: A tutorial. Statistical Science, 14(4), 382–401.
Huang, H. C., Lin, Y. C., & Yeh, C. C. (2009). Joint determinations of inequality and growth. Economics Letters, 103(3), 163–166. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2009.03.010
Huang, K., Sim, N., & Zhao, H. (2020). Does Fdi actually affect income inequality? Insights from 25 years of research. Journal of Economic Surveys, 34(3), 630–659. https://doi.org/10.1111/joes.12373
IMF (2018). Challenges to steady growth, IMF World Economics Outlook October 2018. International Monetary Fund.
Ioannidis, J. P. A., Stanley, T. D., & Doucouliagos, H. (2017). The power of bias in economics research. Economic Journal, 127(605), F236–F265. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecoj.12461
Iršová, Z., & Havránek, T. (2013). Determinants of horizontal spillovers from FDI: Evidence from a large meta-analysis. World Development, 42, 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2012.07.001
Isah, A., & Soliu, H. (2016). Financial development and income inequality: A review of literature [Paper presentation]. International Conference on Social Sciences and Law, Nile University of Nigeria, Abuja. Available at: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/328981319_Financial_Development_and_Income_Inequality_A_Review_of_Literature
Jeanneney, S. G., & Kpodar, K. (2011). Financial development and poverty reduction: Can there be a benefit without a cost? Journal of Development Studies, 47(1), 143–163. https://doi.org/10.1080/00220388.2010.506918
Kai, H., & Hamori, S. (2009). Globalization, financial depth, and inequality in Sub-Saharan Africa. Economics Bulletin, 29(3), 2025–2037.
Kass, R. E., & Raftery, A. E. (1995). Bayes factors. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 90(430), 773–795. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1995.1047657
Kim, D. H., & Lin, S. C. (2011). Nonlinearity in the financial development-income inequality nexus. Journal of Comparative Economics, 39(3), 310–325. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jce.2011.07.002
King, R., & Levine, R. (1993). Finance and growth: Schumpeter might be right. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 108(3), 717–737. https://doi.org/10.2307/2118406
Law, S. H., & Singh, N. (2014). Does too much finance harm economic growth? Journal of Banking & Finance, 41, 36–44. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.12.020
Law, S. H., Tan, H. B., & Azman-Saini, W. N. W. (2014). Financial development and income inequality at different levels of institutional quality. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 50, 21–33. https://doi.org/10.2753/REE1540-496x5001S102
Leibrecht, M., & Hochgatterer, C. (2012). Tax competition as a cause of falling corporate income tax rates: A survey of empirical literature. Journal of Economic Surveys, 26(4), 616–648. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-6419.2010.00656.x
Levine, R. (1999). Law, finance, and economic growth. Journal of Financial Intermediation, 8(1-2), 8–35. https://doi.org/10.1006/jfin.1998.0255
Ley, E., & Steel, M. F. (2009). On the effect of prior assumptions in Bayesian model averaging with applications to growth regression. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 24(4), 651–674. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.1057
Nasreddine, K., & Mensi, S. (2016). Financial development and income inequality: The linear versus the nonlinear hypothesis. Economics Bulletin, 36(2), 609–626.
Ngangué, N. (2020). Financial sector development and open economy for income inequality reduction: A panel fixed model analysis. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 12(4), 33. https://doi.org/10.5539/ijef.v12n4p33
Ni, N., & Liu, Y. (2019). Financial liberalization and income inequality: A meta-analysis based on cross-country studies. China Economic Review, 56, 101306. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chieco.2019.101306
Park, D., & Shin, K. (2017). Economic growth, financial development, and income inequality. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 53(12), 2794–2825. https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2017.1333958
Patrick, H. T. (1966). Financial development and economic growth in underdeveloped countries. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 14(2), 174–189. https://doi.org/10.1086/450153
Paulson, A. L., & Townsend, R. (2004). Entrepreneurship and financial constraints in Thailand. Journal of Corporate Finance, 10(2), 229–262. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0929-1199(03)00056-7
Rajan, R. G., & Zingales, L. (2003). Saving capitalism from the capitalists. Crown Business Division of Random House.
Ridzuan, A. R., Saad, R. M., Subramaniam, G., Amin, S. M., & Borhan, H. (2019). The link between financial sector development and income distribution: Evidence from Singapore. International Journal of Business & Society, 20(2), 627–640.
Roodman, D., Nielsen, M. Ø., MacKinnon, J. G., & Webb, M. D. (2019). Fast and wild: Bootstrap inference in Stata using boottest. The Stata Journal, 19(1), 4–60. https://doi.org/10.1177/1536867x19830877
Rosenthal, R. (1979). The file drawer problem and tolerance for null results. Psychological Bulletin, 86(3), 638–641. https://doi.org/10.1037/0033-2909.86.3.638
Stanley, T. D. (2005). Beyond publication bias. Journal of economic surveys, 19(3), 309–345. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0950-0804.2005.00250.x
Stanley, T. D. (2008). Meta-regression methods for detecting and estimating empirical effects in the presence of publication selection. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and statistics, 70(1), 103–127. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0084.2007.00487.x
Stanley, T. D., & Doucouliagos, H. (2012). Meta-regression analysis in economics and business. Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9780203111710
Stanley, T. D., & Doucouliagos, H. (2014). Meta-regression approximations to reduce publication selection bias. Research Synthesis Methods, 5(1), 60–78. https://doi.org/10.1002/jrsm.1095
Stanley, T. D., Jarrell, S. B., & Doucouliagos, H. (2010). Could it be better to discard 90% of the data? A statistical paradox. The American Statistician, 64(1), 70–77. https://doi.org/10.1198/tast.2009.08205
Tchamyou, V. S., Erreygers, G., & Cassimon, D. (2019). Inequality, ICT and financial access in Africa. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 139, 169–184. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2018.11.004
Valickova, P., Havranek, T., & Horvath, R. (2015). Financial development and economic growth: A meta-analysis. Journal of Economic Surveys, 29(3), 506–526. https://doi.org/10.1111/joes.12068
Xue, X., Cheng, M., & Zhang, W. (2021). Does education really improve health? A meta-analysis. Journal of Economic Surveys, 35(1), 71–105. https://doi.org/10.1111/joes.12399
Yang, Y. Y., & Yi, M. H. (2008). Does financial development cause economic growth? Implication for policy in Korea. Journal of Policy Modeling, 30(5), 827–840. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2007.09.006
Zang, H., & Kim, Y. C. (2007). Does financial development precede growth? Robinson and Lucas might be right. Applied Economics Letters, 14(1), 15–19. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504850500425469
Zhang, R., & Ben Naceur, S. (2019). Financial development, inequality, and poverty: Some international evidence. International Review of Economics and Finance, 61, 1–16. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2018.12.015
Zhuang, J., Gunatilake, H., Niimi, Y., Khan, M. E., Jiang, Y., Hasan, R., Lagman-Martin, N., Anneli Bracey, P., & Huang, B. (2009). Financial sector development, economic growth, and poverty reduction: A literature review. ADB Economics Working Paper Series, 173, 1–48. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1617022
Zigraiova, D., Havranek, T., Irsova, Z., & Novak, J. (2021). How puzzling is the forward premium puzzle? A meta-analysis. European Economic Review, 103714. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103714