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Macroeconomic determinants of European stock and government bond correlations: A tale of two regions
Perego, Erica; Vermeulen, Wessel
2013
 

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Keywords :
Currency union; financial markets; time-varying correlation
Abstract :
[en] This paper studies the dynamic correlation between stocks, between government bonds and between stocks and bonds within the Euro-zone in the last decade. In order to better understand the development of the financial market we argue that it is necessary to analyse all such relations simultaneously rather than focus at one. We firstly calculate the dynamic correlation for the previous asset classes. Results presented at the asset-region level, i.e. north-stock, north-bonds, south-stocks and south-bonds, visualise the divergence in integration in Europe and highlight the he- terogeneity in these markets. Secondly, we study the macroeconomic factors that determine these correlations. We find that, when we allow for regional division, not only cross-asset correlations within regions behave differently from each other, but also cross-assets cross-regions dynamic correlations can be explained with ma- croeconomic factors such as the relative market uncertainty between countries and balance of payments dynamics.
Disciplines :
Macroeconomics & monetary economics
Author, co-author :
Perego, Erica ;  University of Luxembourg > Faculty of Law, Economics and Finance (FDEF) > Center for Research in Economic Analysis (CREA) ; Université Catholique de Louvain - UCL > IRES > PhD student
Vermeulen, Wessel ;  University of Oxford > Department of economics > OXCARRE > Research fellow
Language :
English
Title :
Macroeconomic determinants of European stock and government bond correlations: A tale of two regions
Publication date :
May 2013
Available on ORBilu :
since 15 November 2013

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