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   Economic insecurity and political preferences; Clark, Andrew  ; d'Ambrosio, Conchita et alin Oxford Economic Papers (in press) Economic insecurity has attracted growing attention, but there is no consensus as to its definition. We characterize a class of individual economic-insecurity measures based on the time profile of ... [more ▼] Economic insecurity has attracted growing attention, but there is no consensus as to its definition. We characterize a class of individual economic-insecurity measures based on the time profile of economic resources. We apply this economic-insecurity measure to political-preference data in the USA, UK, and Germany. Conditional on current economic resources, economic insecurity is associated with both greater political participation (support for a party or the intention to vote) and more support for conservative parties. In particular, economic insecurity predicts greater support for both Donald Trump before the 2016 US Presidential election and the UK leaving the European Union in the 2016 Brexit referendum. [less ▲] Detailed reference viewed: 91 (3 UL)The effects of Parental Retirement on Adult Children Well-BeingMontorsi, Carlotta ; Clark, Andrew Presentation (2022, May 18) Detailed reference viewed: 29 (0 UL)Pandemic policy and life satisfaction in EuropeClark, Andrew ; Lepinteur, Anthony in Review of Income and Wealth (2022) Detailed reference viewed: 21 (0 UL) A Natural Experiment on Job Insecurity and Fertility in FranceClark, Andrew ; Lepinteur, Anthony in Review of Economics and Statistics (2022) Job insecurity can have wide-ranging consequences outside of the labour market. We here argue that it reduces fertility amongst the employed. The 1999 rise in the French Delalande tax, paid by large ... [more ▼] Job insecurity can have wide-ranging consequences outside of the labour market. We here argue that it reduces fertility amongst the employed. The 1999 rise in the French Delalande tax, paid by large private firms when they laid off workers aged over 50, produced an exogenous rise in job insecurity for younger workers in these firms. A difference-in-differences analysis of French ECHP data reveals that this greater job insecurity for these under-50s significantly reduced their probability of having a new child by 3.7 percentage points (with a 95% confidence interval between 0.7 and 6.6 percentage points). Reduced fertility is only found at the intensive margin: job insecurity reduces family size but not the probability of parenthood itself. Our results also suggest negative selection into parenthood, as this fertility effect does not appear for low-income and less-educated workers. [less ▲] Detailed reference viewed: 61 (1 UL)The Causes and Consequences of Early-Adult Unemployment: Evidence from Cohort DataClark, Andrew ; Lepinteur, Anthony in Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization (2019) We here use the employment-history data from the British Cohort Study to calculate an individual’s total experience of unemployment from the time they left education up to age 30. We show that ... [more ▼] We here use the employment-history data from the British Cohort Study to calculate an individual’s total experience of unemployment from the time they left education up to age 30. We show that, conditional on current unemployment, this experience is negatively correlated with the life satisfaction that the individual reports at age 30, so that past unemployment scars. We also identify the childhood circumstances and family background that predict this adult unemployment experience. Educational achievement and good behaviour at age 16 both reduce adult unemployment experience, and emotional health at age 16 is a particularly strong predictor of unemployment experience for women. Both boys and girls reproduce on average their parents’ unemployment, so that adult unemployment experience is transmitted between generations. We uncover evidence of a social-norm effect: children from less-advantaged backgrounds both experience more adult unemployment but are less affected by it in well-being. [less ▲] Detailed reference viewed: 54 (2 UL) |
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