References of "Cipriani, Ernesto"
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See detailSupply characteristics and membership choice in round-trip and free-floating carsharing systems
Cisterna, Carolina UL; Giorgione, Giulio UL; Cipriani, Ernesto et al

Scientific Conference (2019, June)

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See detailA Markov Chain Monte Carlo Approach for Estimating Daily Activity Patterns
Scheffer, Ariane Hélène Marie UL; Bandiera, Claudia; Cantelmo, Guido et al

Poster (2019, January)

Determining the purpose of trips brings is a fundamental information to evaluate travel demand during the day and to predict longer-term impacts on the population’s travel behavior. The concept of tours ... [more ▼]

Determining the purpose of trips brings is a fundamental information to evaluate travel demand during the day and to predict longer-term impacts on the population’s travel behavior. The concept of tours is the most suited to consider the value of a daily scheduling of individuals and travel interdependencies. However, the meticulous care required for both collecting data of high quality and interpret results of advanced demand models are frequently considered as major drawbacks. The objective of this study is to incorporate into a standard trip-based model some inherent concepts of activity-based models in order to enhance the representation of travel behavior. The main focus of this work is to infer, employing utility theory, the trip purpose of a population, at a zonal level. Making use of Markov Chain Monte Carlo, a set of parameters is estimated in order to retrieve tour-based primitives of the demand. The main advantage of this methodology is the low requirements in terms of data, as no individual information are used, and the good interpretation of the model. Estimated parameters of the priors set a utility-based probability function for departure time, which allows to have a dynamic overview of the demand. In order to account for the tour consistency of travel decisions, a duration constraint is added to the model. The proposed model is applied to the region of Luxembourg city and the results show the potential of the methodologies for dividing an observed demand based on the activity at destination. [less ▲]

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See detailA utility-based dynamic demand estimation model that explicitly accounts for activity scheduling and duration
Cantelmo, Guido UL; Viti, Francesco UL; Nigro, Marialisa et al

in Transportation Research. Part A, Policy and Practice (2018)

This paper proposes a Dynamic Demand Estimation (DODE) framework that explicitly accounts for activity scheduling and duration. By assuming a Utility-Based departure time choice model, the time-dependent ... [more ▼]

This paper proposes a Dynamic Demand Estimation (DODE) framework that explicitly accounts for activity scheduling and duration. By assuming a Utility-Based departure time choice model, the time-dependent OD flow becomes a function, whose parameters are those of the utility function(s) within the departure time choice model. In this way, the DODE is solved using a parametric approach, which, on one hand, has less variables to calibrate with respect to the classical bi-level formulation while, on the other hand, it accounts for different trip purposes. Properties of the model are analytically and numerically discussed, showing that the model is more suited for estimating the systematic component of the demand with respect to the standard GLS formulation. Differently from similar approaches in literature, which rely on agent-based microsimulators and require expensive survey data, the proposed framework is applicable with all those DTA models, which are based on OD matrix, and do not necessarily need any data at user level. This has been proven by applying the proposed approach with a standard macroscopic realistic Dynamic Traffic Assignment (DTA) [less ▲]

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See detailA two-steps dynamic demand estimation approach sequentially adjusting generations and distributions
Cantelmo, Guido UL; Viti, Francesco UL; Cipriani, Ernesto et al

in Proceedings of IEEE-ITS Conference (2015, September)

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See detailThe Impact of Route Choice Modeling on Dynamic OD Estimation
Cipriani, Ernesto; Del Giudice, Andrea; Nigro, Marialisa et al

in Proceedings of IEEE-ITS Conference (2015, September)

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See detailA TWO-STEP APPROACH FOR THE CORRECTION OF THE SEED MATRIX IN THE DYNAMIC DEMAND ESTIMATION
Cantelmo, Guido UL; Viti, Francesco UL; Tampère, Chris M.J. et al

in Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board (2014), 2466

In this work deterministic and stochastic optimization methods are tested for solving the Dynamic Demand Estimation problem. All the adopted methods demonstrate the difficulty in reproducing the correct ... [more ▼]

In this work deterministic and stochastic optimization methods are tested for solving the Dynamic Demand Estimation problem. All the adopted methods demonstrate the difficulty in reproducing the correct traffic regime, especially if the seed matrix is not sufficiently close to the real one. Therefore, in this paper a new and intuitive procedure to specify an opportune starting seed matrix is proposed: it is a two-step procedure based on the concept of dividing the problem into small-size problems, focusing on specific OD pairs in different steps. Specifically, the first step focuses on the optimization of a subset of OD variables (the ones who generate the higher flows or the ones who generate the bottlenecks on the network). In the second step the optimization works on all the OD pairs, using as starting matrix the matrix derived from the first step. In this way is possible to use a more performance optimization method for every step, improving the performance of the method and the quality of the result with respect to the classical “one-step” approach. The procedure has been tested on the real network of Antwerp, Belgium, demonstrating its efficacy in combination with different optimization methods. [less ▲]

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