Reference : Population, Pensions, and Endogenous Economic Growth
E-prints/Working papers : Already available on another site
Business & economic sciences : Macroeconomics & monetary economics
http://hdl.handle.net/10993/13266
Population, Pensions, and Endogenous Economic Growth
English
Heer, Burkhard []
Irmen, Andreas mailto [University of Luxembourg > Faculty of Law, Economics and Finance (FDEF) > Center for Research in Economic Analysis (CREA) >]
2013
No
[en] Growth ; Demographic Transition ; Pension Reform
[en] We study the effect of a declining labor force on the incentives to engage in labor-saving
technical change and ask how this effect is influenced by institutional characteristics of the pension scheme. When labor is scarcer it becomes more expensive and innovation investments that increase labor productivity are more profitable. We incorporate this channel in a new dynamic general equilibrium model with endogenous economic growth and heterogeneous overlapping generations. We calibrate the model for the US economy and obtain the following results. First, the effect of a decline in population growth on labor productivity growth is positive and quantitatively significant. In our benchmark, it is predicted to increase from an average annual growth rate of 1.74% over 1990-2000 to 2.41% in 2100. Second, institutional characteristics of the pension system matter both for the growth performance and for individual welfare. Third, the assessment of pension reform proposals may depend on whether economic growth is endogenous or exogenous.
Researchers ; Professionals ; Students
http://hdl.handle.net/10993/13266
http://wwwen.uni.lu/content/download/64103/808906/file/2013-17%20-%20Population,%20Pensions%20and%20Endogenous%20Economic%20Growth.pdf

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