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See detailDemographics and FDI: Lessons from China's one-child policy
Donaldson, John; Koulovatianos, Christos UL; Li, Jian et al

Article for general public (2018)

China’s one-child policy increased its capital-labour ratio and reduced FDI inflows relative to India, consistent with neoclassical fundamentals

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See detailDemographics and FDI: Lessons from China's One-Child Policy
Donaldson, John B.; Koulovatianos, Christos UL; Li, Jian et al

E-print/Working paper (2018)

Lucas (1990) argues that the neoclassical adjustment process fails to explain the relative paucity of FDI inflows from rich to poor countries. In this paper we consider a natural experiment: using China ... [more ▼]

Lucas (1990) argues that the neoclassical adjustment process fails to explain the relative paucity of FDI inflows from rich to poor countries. In this paper we consider a natural experiment: using China as the treated country and India as the control, we show that the dynamics of the relative FDI flows subsequent to the implementation of China's one-child policy, as seen in the data, are consistent with neoclassical fundamentals. In particular, following the introduction of the one-child policy in China, the capital-labor (K/L) ratio of China increased relative to that of India, and, simultaneously, relative FDI inflows into China vs. India declined. These observations are explained in the context of a simple neoclassical OLG paradigm. The adjustment mechanism works as follows: the reduction in the (urban) labor force due to the one-child policy increases the savings per capita. This increases the K/L ratio and reduces the marginal product of capital (MPK). The reduction in MPK (relative to India) reduces the relative attractiveness of investment in China and is thus associated with lower FDI/GDP ratios. Our paper contributes to the nascent literature exploring demographic transitions and their effects on FDI flows. [less ▲]

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See detailThe Term Structure of Interest Rates in India
Mehra, Rajnish UL; Sinha, Arunima

in Monetary Policy in India: A Modern Macroeconomic Perspective (2016)

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See detailEvaluating Macroeconomic Interventions
Mehra, Rajnish UL

in Robert Litterman. Wiley & Sons (2016)

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See detailThe Demand for Diversification in Incomplete Markets
Mehra, Rajnish UL; Wahal, Sunil; Xie, Daruo

E-print/Working paper (2015)

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See detailUniversity of Venice
Mehra, Rajnish UL

Presentation (2015)

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See detailEcole nationale de la statistique et de l’analyse de l’information
Mehra, Rajnish UL

Scientific Conference (2015)

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See detailBanque Centrale du Luxembourg
Mehra, Rajnish UL

Scientific Conference (2015)

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See detailCAFIN Lecture UC Santa Cruz
Mehra, Rajnish UL

Scientific Conference (2015)

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See detailMonetary Policy with 100% Reserve Banking: An Exploration
Mehra, Rajnish UL; Wessel, Ryan; Prescott, Edward C.

E-print/Working paper (2015)

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See detailIV International Conference in Economics and Finance
Mehra, Rajnish UL

Scientific Conference (2014)

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See detailDeveloping the Next Generation of Economic Models of Climate Change Conference
Mehra, Rajnish UL

Scientific Conference (2014)

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See detailFinancial Reform and Quantitative Easing in General Equilibrium Conference ASU
Mehra, Rajnish UL

Scientific Conference (2014)

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See detailInquire Europe Conference
Mehra, Rajnish UL

Scientific Conference (2014)

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See detailIcelandic Savers Association
Mehra, Rajnish UL

Scientific Conference (2014)

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See detailThe Macroeconomic Determinants of Mean Reversion and Financial Predictability
Mehra, Rajnish UL; Donaldson, John B.

E-print/Working paper (2014)

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See detailNational Bank of Serbia
Mehra, Rajnish UL

Scientific Conference (2014)

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See detailASU Sonaran Conference
Mehra, Rajnish UL

Scientific Conference (2014)

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See detailICEF at the Higher School of Economics
Mehra, Rajnish UL

Scientific Conference (2013)

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